First storm of the year! w00t!
From the SPC
LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING WRN IA WILL INCREASE AND
INTENSIFY INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF COLD FRONT WHICH
EXTENDS FROM WRN IA INTO NWRN MO. STEEP LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
PREVAIL OVER THIS REGION...WITH SIGNIFICANT DAYTIME HEATING FURTHER
DESTABILIZING THE AIR MASS. AFTERNOON SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE
LOWER/MID 50S AND 500MB TEMPS AROUND -20C WILL COMBINE FOR MODERATE
INSTABILITY /SBCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG/. IN ADDITION TO
FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES...VERY STRONG DEEP LAYER VERTICAL
SHEAR IS EXPECTED OVER THIS REGION IN EXIT REGION OF 70-80 KNOT MID
LEVEL JET. SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS APPEAR LIKELY...ORGANIZING INTO BROKEN LINES OF SEVERE STORMS
AS THEY SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN IL AND SOUTHERN WI. DURING
AFTERNOON AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO SURGE RAPIDLY NEWD INTO
CENTRAL IL/WRN IN POTENTIAL FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS WILL BE ON THE
From the NWS
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE ENTIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREATS FROM THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.
What? you unable to
- Posted by Matt (Guest) on March 30, 2005 at 11:14:48AM
It was pre-formatted text. I didn't want to useand end up with double line breaks, but I wanted to maintain the preformat, so I used
- Posted by tim (Guest) on March 30, 2005 at 07:07:13PM
Okay, so they lied... Sort of...
The most we had today was a lot of wind, a few close lightning strikes, and probably about an inch of rain. It was fun though.
- Posted by tim (Guest) on March 31, 2005 at 12:03:40AM